Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Three Years from Now - in 2014

Today is April 19, 2011. I predict that the following will happen if nothing is done to stop it.


1. Radio (as we know it) will disappear
- Wi-Fi everywhere through WiMax or 4G/5G, which will
- allow "always connected" device, including in vehicle, that means
- internet radio replace terrestrial radio, satellite radio, and maybe even mp3 players, because
- internet radio programming can be targeted to segments


2. Retails stores will disappear, replaced by specialty stores such as Apple, Microsoft, and Sony to peddle their own products. BestBuy will shrink or disappear because most of their high volume and/or high grossing products can be bought online

3. Amazon will shrink greatly because the state (?) government will start to charge sales tax on internet transactions

4. Fast food stores will allocate 20% of their space for localized tastes. A Burger King in health conscious Palo Alto will have organic salads.


5. Homes might have small factories to create simple devices based on plastics/polymer/silicon.

1 comment:

  1. I might need to retract on #2 - because shoppers want variety and don't want to shop at a "one brand only" store.

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